Projection 2022–2062 · vital statistics 2025
The population the Maldives
is about to become.
Two official series looking in opposite directions: the forty-year projection published by the Bureau of Statistics, and the register of births and deaths that records what is happening right now.
678,024 people in 2062
The revised projection runs from 2022 to 2062 on assumptions the Bureau publishes alongside it: fertility falling from 1.7 to 1.5, life expectancy reaching 85.3 years for women and 82.8 for men, and a foreign population that keeps growing for another decade.
from 547,651 in 2022
up from 30% — two in five residents
at 427,994, then declines
53% of the country
Resident population by nationality
Mid-year resident population. The Maldivian series turns down after 2050 while the foreign series keeps climbing — all of the country's net growth after that point is migration.
Foreign residents as a share of the population
Thirty per cent in 2022, thirty-nine by 2062. The projection assumes foreign residents grow for another ten years and then follow the trajectory of labour-receiving countries in the Middle East.
2047: more elderly than children
The 65+ population rises from 20,792 to 119,710 — nearly six times over — while the number of children falls by almost half. These are resident totals, Maldivian and foreign together.
×5.8 the 2022 figure
down from 103,637
a first in the country's history
from 29 per 100 working-age residents in 2022
Children and elderly, 2022–2062
Residents under 15 against residents 65 and over. The lines cross once and never uncross.
Population pyramid · 2022
Resident population by five-year age band, males left and females right. Watch the bulge of working-age foreign men in 2022 move up and thin out.
5,625 births, 1,399 deaths in 2025
The Vital Statistics Bulletin records every registered birth and death. In 2025 the country added 4,226 people by natural increase — before any migration is counted.
sex ratio 101.6 boys per 100 girls
4,226 natural increase
70 infant and 75 under-five deaths
5 maternal deaths recorded
Live births by quarter and sex
Registered live births. Births are remarkably flat across the year — the quarterly range is under 6%.
Births by age of mother
Nearly six in ten births are to mothers aged 25–34. Births to mothers under 20 number 65 in the whole year.
Deaths by age group and sex
Deaths occurring in the Maldives. Roughly three in five are of residents aged 65 and over, and men outnumber women in every band.
13 atolls smaller in 2062 than today
Projected change in resident population between 2022 and 2062, by atoll. 7 are projected to grow and 13 to shrink — internal migration is assumed to continue at its current pace, which means it keeps pulling toward the centre.
Projected change in resident population, 2022 → 2062
Percentage change over the full projection horizon. Kaafu contains the Malé area, which absorbs effectively all of the country's net growth.